The end of Dexter Season 4

I am dissapointed by the end of Dexter season 4. First, the line was crossed from vigilantism to murderer when he killed an innocent person, and then was responsible for another innocent person's death. The trinity killer said it best when he said "but I don't take pride in my work." Dexter could have killed him earlier, but wanted him for himself, leading ultimately an innocent woman's death. Not just an innocent woman, but the love of his life for the entire series. Speculation about the next season is all over the place now. Was Trinity's family in on the murder of Rita? How will Dexter not lose his shit next season?

Two Movies I've seen recently

I recently saw two movies: The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus, and Daybreakers. The first was a grand tale of a travelling show that had a doorway to the realization of people's imagination. Christopher Plumber plays a bum who wagers with the devil, intertwining those he loves. The great Heath Ledger plays Tony, the Hanged man, a kind of middlepoint between the dialetical of the Devil and God in this story. The Hanged man is an ancient symbol from Tarot cards, otherwise known as the Traitor. Due to Heath Ledger's passing, the rest of the character was played by Johnny Depp, Jude Law, and Colin Ferrell. The story was actually adapted, and really enhanced the story of the movie. Each of the three actors play Tony in a different dream world, well matching the translucency of Ledger's character in the first place. Imaginarium is a great movie, indulging the fantasy world to a tee.

Daybreakers is more of a 3 to 3.5 star movie. Set in a world where vampires are the common race, and human blood is becoming more and more scarce, a compassionate scientist played by Ethan Hawke falls into an outcast human group. While the story was somewhat formulaic, it did not get too bogged down in playing out tired dystopian themes. The execution of the movie and some of the creepy crawlies were done originally enough.

What’s a good offer for Roy Halladay?

While no Blue Jays fan wants to see the team’s best player and leader traded for emotional reasons, we all want to eventually see a World Series winning team. The popularity of Roy Halladay, and his unbelievable talent make it very unlikely he will be traded. It is not often a smart idea to trade away a player that will anger the fan base (unless you are Billy Beane, who has traded away Rich Harden, Dan Haren, and Nick Swisher this year, in a series of gutsy moves). But with rumours of a new GM and President as a possibility in the off-season, you never know if the team will listen to offers.

First thing to consider is what the value is of the commodity you are selling. Halladay is signed for 2 years and $30 million for the next two years. When he walks he will net you two top draft picks as he will probably be a Type A free agent. I don’t think it’s fair to say Halladay is at the top of his value. Sure, he leads the AL in IP, has a 5:1 K:BB ratio, and has a sparkling 2.64 ERA. But he has the track record to suggest that he can still do this for several years to come, as he is only 31. He is also out of the injury nexus that is the 20’s for pitchers.

The best free agent pitchers on the market the next two years will be CC Sabathia, Ben Sheets, and in 2010 Rich Harden, Jon Lackey, and Erik Bedard. Many of these players will earn $18-20 million per year, and have blemishes, such as health issues (Sheets, Harden, Bedard), and some might be retained by their former team (Lackey). Needless to say, having a workhorse with the talent and reliability of Halladay at a decent price makes him quite valuable.

The other thing to consider is what the trade market has bore the last two years for pitchers with similar age, talent level, and contract situation. Surprisingly, 4 of the 6 trades seem to have gotten fair value or better.

Trades deemed as underselling

Harden and Gaudin for Gallagher, Murton, Patterson, and Donaldson. Harden obviously came with the injury discount, but with an option year, his immediate dominance of the NL, and Gaudin thrown in for a bunch of nice but not stellar prospects, the industry consensus was that this was a steal for the Cubs. Nevertheless, Billy Beane never looks at the battles, but at the war, and this trade was clearly part of a larger scheme to deconstruct, as he did well with his many other sell-off trades (Haren, Blanton).

Santana for Carlos Gomez, Guerra, Mulvey, and Humber. Santana may be the closest comparison to Halladay all things considered, except that he had 1 year left on his contract instead of 2. Many better packages were thrown around, but the Twins did not want to trade him to an AL East team (for Hughes and more, a much better talent than Gomez), and ended up panicking and taking less than he was worth. The silver lining is the Yankees won’t be hands down dominant with an ace like Santana on their team for years, and the Twins are still competing this year.

Trades deemed as fair or better

Joe Blanton for Adrian Cardenas, Outman, and Spencer. Blanton is an average innings eater, the kind that gets 10-12 million on the open market, and had a nice few cheap years left on his contract. But the A’s got centre piece Adrian Cardenas, who is one of the best 2b prospects in the minors (despite their logjam with Jemile Weeks, Eric Patterson, and Mark Ellis).

Sabathia for Laporta, Bryson, and Jackson. For half a year of Sabathia, and the two high picks they will net when he walks, the Indians got a legitimate 30-homerun bat in Laporta, who is close to the majors. Sabathia has dominated the NL and given good value to the Brewers, especially if they make damage in the playoffs. I would use this trade as a model, hoping to net 2 or more similar centerpieces, on account of the 2 years of contract time, versus half a year.

Bedard for Adam Jones, George Sherrill, Tillman, Mickolio, and Butler. Bedard also had 2 years on his contract left, and was a bit younger, a bit more injury prone, had a bit less of a track record, but can be just as talented. The prize in the deal was Adam Jones, who is hitting respectably for a good fielding CF as a rookie, a nice lefty reliever in Sherrill, and a few other non-impact prospects. Personally, I would rather have 2 blue chip prospects and a piece like Sherrill than a 5 for 1 deal with one blue chip prospect.

Haren (and Conor Robertson) for Carlos Gonzalez, Brett Anderson, Aaron Cunningham, Greg Smith, Dana Eveland, and Chris Carter. Dan Haren has pitched very well for the Diamondbacks, but Oakland did very well, getting 6 very interesting and potentially useful prospects.

What about teams that might be interested? One NL team and one AL team fit the mold as good trading partners.

Texas has some of the best hitting in baseball and the worst pitching. They might not think they are far off from contention, and fleshing out there very good farm system would be worth it. Jon Daniels has not been afraid to make aggressive moves in the past. Texas could offer pieces that the Jays need for the future, such as short stop Elvis Andrus, one of their catchers (Saltalamacchia, but the logjam includes Max Ramirez, Taylor Teagarden, and Gerald Laird), as well as pitchers Neftali Feliz and Eric Hurley. The Jays could certainly use a C and SS of the future, as well as more pitching.

The Rockies have a similar situation. Good hitting, poor pitching, and not too far away from contending. They are Doc’s hometown, but the prospects don’t match up as well for the Jays. Ian Stewart is currently blocked at 3b by Garrett Atkins, and he is hitting well in the majors, and trying out his hands at 2b. They also have five-tool and hot hitting Dexter Fowler (OF), and some struggling pitching prospects in Greg Reynolds and Franklin Morales, as well as some light hitting shortstop prospects (Hector Gomez, Chris Nelson). The package doesn’t really wow me.

So is trading Halladay the answer? Not necessarily. If the Jays did decide to rebuild, I would suggest being aggressive. There are some pieces to build around in Lind, Cecil, Snider, Hill, and Rios (as a CF). Shipping off some veterans would free up some salary room, and that money could be poured into signing international players and drafting.

I’ve written about this before, but the main piece to consider moving is Vernon Wells. He is hitting pretty respectably, with a .778 OPS, while the average ML centerfielder has a .753 OPS this year, and he still probably has a good defensive reputation. But in terms of production versus dollars, the future looks bleak for Wells. He’s due 5/107 starting in 2010, for an average of 21.4 million per year, and players tend to decline in their early to mid-30’s. Eating a large amount of money now may save a larger amount of salary in the future, and Rios could take over in CF, while the corner OF spots are not as hard to fill (especially with Lind and Snider). Since the contract is back loaded, if the Jays ate only $17 million after 2009, Wells would have 5/90 left, which is what Torii Hunter signed for this off-season at age 31 (and it means the Jays will have paid only 18 million a year, exactly what they signed him to). They may of course have to eat more than this, but the dollars could be spent on a more potent bat if you think that the close-to-the-majors prospects will be enough to compete with in a couple of years. If that is the case, then I’d argue for keeping Halladay, since there’s no sign of him decreasing in performance, and he might resign for 2 or 3 more years (and the Jays can afford him). The Jays currently have the best pitching in the AL, and if that offense could jump from 11th to around 6th, with a few bats (like a Jason Bay or Manny Ramirez), then winning could be possible while Halladay is still here. Now, if you think the Jays are 5-7 years away, that is a different story, and would require selling off Halladay and every other major piece on the roster for a longer-term overhaul.

Favourite Motivational Posters

Baseball as a War of Attrition

(www.bluejayway.ca)

There is a new shift in the market taking place: more and more teams are locking up players over their arbitration years, often extending into free agency. For example, look at some of the recent signings teams have made (most of which for players who haven’t hit arbitration): Ryan Braun, Scott Kazmir, Evan Longoria, Aaron Hill, Alex Rios, Troy Tulowitzki, James Shields, Justin Upton, Chris Young, Hanley Ramirez, Ian Kinsler, Robinson Cano, Adam Wainwright, Curtis Granderson, and Brandon Phillips. There seems to be a divergence from free agent contracts, which have become very expensive, in part because baseball is awash in cash, and also because teams feel they may be one piece away from putting themselves over the top. Eighteen seems to be the new magic number to lock up star players, as most of the highest paid players hover around 18 million per year (+/- 1): Wells, Zito, Zambrano, Matsuzaka (incl. posting fee), Hunter, Lee, Jones, Ichiro, Soriano, Peavy, Cabrera, and Beltran. That of course excludes Santana and Rodriguez, who are both exceptional cases.

Thus, teams are trying to maximize their young superstar’s years before they hit free agency. What sort of affects will this have on team construction in the future? For one, so many young players locked up means fewer will hit free agency, and that may be part of the reason why the last few years have had such a dry crop of free agents. Second, teams are building up to be competitive for a long time, because they control the core of their young player’s contracts for a long time. Another advantage is that players tend to peak in their late 20’s, whereas many free agents are being signed for their decline years, in their 30’s.

Third, there will be more sunk cost contracts in the future. Tying up Scott Kazmir for potentially 4/$40 million is a potentially incredible steal. But if he blows his arm out, then they are looking at a $28 million loss (which is what is currently guaranteed). Fourth, it is smart to trade for prospects who are late bloomers and thus are not incorporated into their teams’ long-term plans, such as Carlos Quentin (who’s killing the ball in Chicago right now). If I were another GM, I’d be eyeing Adam Lind on the cheap right now. Conversely, teams should be wary of overvaluing a rookie who got off to a hot start. But if there is a consensus of positive evaluations from the scouts, then it is a safer bet to lock up a young star.

Some other nuances are worth noting. Even the arbitration process is not immune to inflation. Ryan Howard won an arbitration case this year for $10 million in his mere first year of arbitration. Since players make what comparable players make, there will be an increase in other arbitration salaries in the ensuing years. Nevertheless, it remains a fraction of what the inflation on the free agent market is worth. Second, I am predicting a more aggressive approach by teams to give out major league deals in the draft this year. For example, Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com predicts the Pirates (yes, that’s right, the Pirates) will draft Pedro Alvarez, since he is both the most expensive player they can get, and also, the best one.

Finally, where do the Jays stand? Marcum and McGowan are the front runners to be locked up long-term. They are both a bit on the older side, so perhaps a pitcher’s injury might be a bit less of a risk. As well, Travis Snider is a good candidate to start well in the majors and hopefully be a Jay masher for a long-time. But he’s still extremely young.

The Blue Jays Off the Field

(www.bluejayway.ca)

A recent article on THT (1) tackled the issue of how to increase the value of a baseball franchise. While we are all familiar with how the Jays are on the field, I thought it would be interesting to see how the Jays stand as a profitable franchise, and how that relates to fan experience.

The third variable the THT article tackles is “building success and payroll.” I will spend the least amount of time on this subject, because you can look no further than the forums to see ample discussion on how to make the Blue Jays a winning team. But the payroll is a nice transition into the first variable THT mentions, which is:

“Where is the revenue ceiling?”

In other words, is money being maximized? The payroll, which stands in the mid-90 million’s this year, is about 12th in MLB, whereas the recent Forbes team valuations (which are in a sense somewhat crude, but useable numbers) put the Jays 22nd overall in value, at $352 million. Revenues come in at $160 million, with $42 million of that coming from gate receipts. (2) So on the one hand, it would seem that Blue Jays ownership really cares about making a winning team.

Two other columns are of interest in the Forbes report. One is operating income, which is “earnings before tax, depreciation and amortization.” The Blue Jays lost $1.8 million last year in terms of cash flow. As THT says,

“Five years ago, 16 teams lost money. In 2007 only three teams--Blue Jays ($1.8 million), Red Sox ($19.1 million), Yankees ($47.3 million)--posted an operating loss. But even those losses are misleading. For the owners of the Yankees and Red Sox, the huge dividends they get from their unconsolidated cable networks more than make up for the teams' losses. Meanwhile Rogers Communications, which owns the Blue Jays, their stadium and the cable channel that televises its games, derives huge benefits from owning the Blue Jays not reflected on its team's P&L statement.”

In other words, the Jays are a huge promotional vehicle for the Rogers brand, saving tons of money in national advertising. The Jays have historically had a strong audience on TV, especially since Toronto is the 5th biggest city in North America, and has a national audience. (3) But this doesn’t have to affect the way the Jays market and over-advertise at the game. (“It’s time for the Rogers home phone to the bullpen.”) Rogers mere ownership of the team and station is giving it tons of free advertising on TV. I also found it interesting that in 2006, the Jays had one of the highest operating incomes, in the $30 million territory. I haven’t looked at that year’s valuations, but the 2006 valuations probably refer to the 2005 year, when the payroll was in the $50 million range still. Rogers decided to put that money in the green into player payroll.

Nonetheless, when you go to a game, it is apparent the Jays are throwing as many ads at you as possible. The Jays seem to be marketing to families and children, because the hard core fans will spend money either way, they believe, whereas if you hook a kid at a young age, you will hook them for life. Seems like a weird business model, considering business usually doesn't look down the road 20 or 30 years, but for maximization of profits right now.

The other column in the Forbes table is debt to value. (4) Debt to value basically “indicates what proportion of equity and debt the company is using to finance its assets. A high debt/equity ratio generally means that a company has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. This can result in volatile earnings as a result of the additional interest expense.” (5) The Jays are one of 3 teams to have a zero debt to value ratio, along with the Cubs and the Braves, who are both (surprise!) owned by publicly funded corporations. But if you look at these teams, one has been ultra competitive for years, and one has a fantastic atmosphere at the games, so the publicly-funded ownership angle really shouldn’t come into play as an excuse (though I can see it being the main argument for why the team shouldn’t sign Barry Bonds). As a result, it seems the Jays are being financed with a very anti-aggressive approach, a typically Canadian mark on an American game.

The second factor of increasing the value of a team is building a new stadium. New stadiums tend to bring in fans for the novelty, and estimates are that actual profit (which is over and above revenue) increases by at least $5 million per year in the first 3 years once the new stadium is built. (1) They are also often paid for in part by the government. I’d argue that now is the time to strike for a new stadium. In just a few years, the Rogers Centre will be one of the oldest stadiums in baseball, in which you can count on one hand. With the new developments on the Toronto waterfront, and the Toronto Bills playing 8 games over the next 5 or so years, now is the perfect time. Engineers could design a stadium with a lakeshore or city view, a dome for the weather, and natural grass. The horrible artificial turf is going extinct, only being used by a handful of stadiums now. However, the recent upgrades in the Rogers Centre tell me that the stadium may be around for a few more years. Especially because “the Jays have been one of baseball’s biggest revenue-sharing receivers in recent years because they are permitted to deduct their hefty stadium expenses from revenues in the league's revenue-sharing formula.” (2)

Toronto is I believe the 5th biggest city in North America, and has the only baseball team in Canada. Even if this is a hockey town, it has a good sports market. The city itself is great, for example being ranked 4th in terms of neighbourhood on the SI.com stadium rankings. (6) That's right no stickups when you go to see a Blue Jays game. La-dee-da. (But this is why I don't understand why JP Ricciardi says free agents are hard to get to come here. Now that the dollar is back up, the only thing is the weather, but that's the case in a lot of cities. Also, I don't really buy the argument that free agents come here for any special reason other than they were all paid top dollar to, or that they hate Tony LaRussa.) Atmosphere is 26th, and on a side note, food is 27th (seriously, did they get their menus from a convenience store?). There’s no reason why the Jays can't be the Yankees of the next decade. If it were me, I’d turn things on its head from a business standpoint. Build a new stadium, and start improving fan experience. Stop the barrage of ads and gimmicky promotions to bring in and breed fair-weather fans in the stadium. If they are having fun at the game, then that will really hook the youngsters.

Things can be improved on the field as well. In part, the bigger following of the Jays in recent years is from signing bigger names. But these are expensive free agents that give marginal wins, which are not enough to put this team over the top. So, I’d knock down the major league payroll by $10 million, and pour that into drafting and development. In other words, I’d splurge on the Rick Porcello’s of the world, as the Detroit Tigers just did, who are in a smaller city, with no better attendances than the Jays before they got their new park and GM.

As well, only a small portion of revenue sharing is part of the commissioner’s discretionary fund, which he sees fit to distribute. For example, years ago the Jays received a couple of extra million in equalization payments for the weak Canadian dollar. I doubt that they currently still receive it. Otherwise, the Jays aren’t in Bud’s pocket any more than any other team, and if anything, they are being good owners by spending their revenue sharing money on team payroll, instead of pocketing it like the Marlins. When all is said and done, baseball is a sport about winning, so toeing the company line when great opportunities present themselves to win (ie: drafting over slot) should be taken, especially when your very own rivals are doing it (Yankees and Tigers).

There is relatively good parity in baseball, but the Jays are unfortunate enough to be in the one division that is uber-rich and uber-smart. Baseball is not going to change and make an expanded playoff system just for them. So it’s up to the Jays to bring success to themselves, and make their business strategy a bit more aggressive.

References
(1) http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/how-can-gms-increase-the-value-of-their-franchise/
(2) http://www.forbes.com/lists/2008/33/biz_baseball08_The-Business-Of-Baseball_Rank.html?boxes=custom
(3) The stats are pending, as the THT writer forgot to put in one team in this section of the article, being the Blue Jays. I may update this if the information gets emailed to me.
(4) I also want to bring up an interlude here. I don’t have a business background, generally being an artsy person in school (but I was good at math!). I may be wrong here and there, but the general purpose of these articles is to spur on discussion on the Jays. So feel free to discuss on the forums what you will, and point out any business details I may have messed up.
(5) http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/debtequityratio.asp
(6) http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/baseball/mlb/specials/fansurvey/2008/index.html?eref=T1

The Best Names in Baseball History

(http://www.bluejayway.ca/)

Baseball is as much about its tradition as it is about the sport. For generations, it has attracted the weirdest, and most typically baseball names. Why is this information useful? It’s not! But I’m going to write about it anyway! Actually, if you ever need to make a chant, or you don’t know who to draft in the last round of your fantasy draft, then it always helps to know some good baseball names. So, without further adieu, here is a list of some of the best Blue Jay, and non-Blue Jay names in the history of the game.

Toronto Blue Jays:
Unintimidating names

Phil Roof
Dennis Lamp
Bob File
Robert Person (these last 4 names are the least scary names…ever)
Lance Painter
Cliff Politte
Pedro Swann

Won’t fit on the back of the jersey names

Lee Gronkiewicz (this category should be named after him)
Mark Rzepczynski (probably the hardest name I’ve ever seen)

Intimidating names

Butch Edge (sounds pretty dangerous)
Tom Lawless
Ron and Jeff Musselman
Mark Bomback

Throwback names

Willie Upshaw
Hosken Powell
Mickey Klutts (Look me straight in the eye, and tell me this isn’t David Eckstein’s long lost father).
Doyle Alexander
Bud Black
Huck Flener
Tanyon Sturtze

Funny names

Mookie Wilson (makes a great chant)
Mauro Gozzo (is this guy asking for some gauze in another language?)
Howard Battle (Battle could have been intimidating, if it wasn’t accompanied by the least threatening first name ever)
Tim Crabtree
Tilson Brito
Ben van Ryn (points for uniqueness)
Homer Bush
Geronimo Berroa
Buck Coats
Marco Scutaro (MARCO???)
Alfredo Griffin
Candy Maldonado

Non-Blue Jays:
Unintimidating names

Taylor Teagarden (okay, we may have two things that are less threatening than lamp and roof)
Johnny Wockenfuss
Rocky Roquet (wasn’t this a name of a doll for girls?)

The Lee Gronkiewicz award

Tim Spooneybarger (played in a rock band called Mad Ink with A.J. Burnett in Florida)

Intimidating names

Antonio Bastardo and Alberto Bastardo (both are playing in the minor leagues right now, and no, they aren’t related, we think)

Throwback names

Lance Broadway
Catfish Hunter
Rollie Fingers
T.J. Beam
Baron Frost
Winter Polo (a personal favourite)
Houston Summers
Dusty Napoleon
Al Alburquerque
Zelous Wheeler

Funny names

Callix Crabbe
Rocky Cherry (an alcoholic beverage needs to be named after this guy)
Benito Beato (I get heartburn just thinking of this guy’s name)
Rowdy Hardy (I think he wrestled in the WWF in 1990)
Jetsy Extrano (I was going to put this in the throwback names category, but it sounds too futuristic)
Tobi Stoner (must have been friends with…)
Jung Bong
Kosuke Fukudome (If you went to a Cubs game, you’ll know why Cub fans hate the Rogers Centre)
Duane Below (LOOK OUT!)
Noochie Varner
Mayobanex Acosta
Sugar Ray Marimon
Mark Hamburger
Gonzalo Gonzalez
Pete Lacock (sorry, these last 4 had to be put in here somewhere)
Dick Cox
JJ Putz
Jorge Poo Tang

And…..the top 5 baseball names of all time

5. Rusty Kuntz (it’s pronounced koonts)
4. Wonderful Terrific Monds III (this was a college player who never made it to the big leagues. Extra points for being “the third.”)
3. Cirilo Cumberpatch (points for its absurdness)
2. Urban Shocker (enough said. You don’t mess with this guy)
1. Billy Jo Robidoux (Remember that Simpsons episode, where another Homer walked into Moe’s bar, and said it was Joey Jo-Jo Juniour Shabadoo? Well any name that sounds like that one has to be the best name in baseball history)

The Top 10 Blue Jays Homeruns of All-time

(featured on http://www.bluejayway.ca/)

Here are the top 10 Blue Jay homeruns of all time. There are 9 homeruns that clearly stand out for their historical significance. There always will be subjective favourites, so I will leave the reader to choose your personal favourite as number 10. On with the top 9:

9) Doug Ault's first homer for the Blue Jays franchise.

This was bound to happen by someone, and it wasn't hit by the most memorable of Blue Jays. But Ault hit 2 homers in the first Jays game ever, a 9-5 home win over the White Sox on April 7, 1977.

8) Kelly Gruber's homerun as part of the first cycle in Jays history.

The Jays crushed the Royals in this 1989 game 15-8. Gruber was a part of the great late-80's and 1992 World Championship teams. The only other Jay to hit for the cycle was Jeff Frye (2001), a no-name player who had 175 at-bats, and managed 16 career homeruns over 8 seasons. So honourable mention to him!

7) Ed Sprague's pinch-hit homerun in game 2 of the 1992 World Series.

The Jays were trailing 1-0 in the 1992 World Series to Atlanta. It was 4-3 in the top of the 9th. Wanting badly to not come home with a 2 game deficit, Sprague cranked a 2-run shot, which eventually won the game 5-4. He had only 1 more at-bat the rest of the series.

6) Fred McGriff hits record 10th team homerun of the game.

On September 14, 1987, the Jays set the record for most homeruns in a game, crushing the Orioles 18-3. The homeruns hit were by Ernie Whitt (3), George Bell (2), Rance Mulliniks (2), Rob Ducey, Lloyd Moseby, and McGriff. The record stands by a single homerun over the 1999 Cincinnati Reds, but I have a feeling this record will not stand the test of time. In recent years teams often reach the 7 and 8 homerun plateau. All it will take is a team to have one extra good night to break it.

5) George Bell's last homerun in Exhibition stadium.

Bell hit a dramatic walk-off 2-run shot in the bottom of the 10th on May 28, 1989, to end an era at exhibition stadium, where the team saw a rise to prominence. The homerun is complete with a classic Tom Cheek quote (one of the greatest announcers of all time): "What an ending to a story!" Honourable mention to Fred McGriff, who hit the first homerun in the SkyDome 8 days later.

4) Carlos Delgado's 4-homerun game.

This is the only place Delgado, the greatest Blue Jay of all-time, makes the list. Delgado was never in the playoffs with the team, unfortunately being here mostly during the post-strike dark ages. But the 4 homer gem on September 25, 2003, well captures his great power. The homers were hit consecutively, and the 4th one tied the game up, which the Jays eventually won over the Devil Rays 10-8. Only 15 players have done this in baseball history. This record has a chance of standing more so then the team record does, unless someone hits a 5th dinger in a long extra innings game.

3) George Bell's 47th homer during his MVP campaign.

The only Blue Jay to win an MVP award (1987), versus the 4 Cy Young Awards. The 47 homers stand as the most in team history, 1 ahead of Jose Canseco (1998). Unfortunately, the homerun was hit on September 23, one day before the team's epic collapse began. With 8 days left in the season, the Jays relinquished a 3.5 game lead over the Tigers. They were swept by the Tigers in the final series, losing the division by 2 games, and going home with a wasted 96 win season in their pockets.

2) Joe Carter’s 1993 World Series winning homerun.

Easily one of the biggest homeruns in MLB history, Joe Carter hit a come from behind, World Series winning homerun in game 6. Different lists out there put Joe a little bit further down the list than he deserves (other than this one: http://espn.go.com/page2/s/greatesthomerunslist.html). The only other World Series walk-off homer was Bill Mazeroski in game 7 of the 1960 World Series. No offense to Kirk Gibson, but as kids we don’t really dream of having a sore leg, swinging badly on a few pitches, then hitting a walk-off homerun in game 1 of the World Series, only to have that be our last at bat. We dream of a situation a lot closer to this: bottom of the 9th, 2 on, 1out, team down by 1 run, game 6 of the World Series...the ball is hit…it’s going, going…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3AG6GcSwQCE

1) Roberto Alomar’s go-ahead homerun in the 1992 ALCS.

I actually remember this homerun, when I was 8 years old, and jumping for joy in my parents bedroom, in disbelief we were back in the game. The Jays were leading the series 2-1, playing against the formidable Oakland Athletics at the Coliseum. Dennis Eckersley was the dominant closer of the time, and part of a great A’s team that featured Rickey Henderson and Mark McGwire in their prime. They had toyed with the Jays in the 1989 ALCS, winning the series 4-1, and the Jays were back in the playoffs after years and years of near-greatness, always coming up short. Down 6-1 in the top of the 8th, Carter, Olerud, and Maldonado all had run scoring singles, to bring the game to 6-4. Eckersley made a cocky gesture by glaring and pointing earlier on. In the top of the 9th, after a Devon White single, Alomar cranks a homerun, immediately raising his arms (a triumphant gesture over Eckersley’s), tying up the game. Pat Borders went on to hit a sacrifice fly in the top of the 11th, and the Jays took a commanding 3-1 lead in the series. From that point on, all the momentum in club history had changed. The Jays believed they could win.

Bonus: Some favourites from the BJW message boards for memorable homeruns

Joe Carter, Josh Phelps, Shawn Green and Carlos Delgado all crushing homers into the 5th deck at SkyDome.
Ken Huckaby's inside the park homer.
Tony Batista's broken bat home run.Rance Mulliniks and Greg Myers hit inside the park homeruns.
Jesse Barfield becomes the first Jay to swat 40 in 1986.
Junior Felix inside-the-park grand slam against Boston in 1989.Kelly Gruber's inside the fog HR at the CNE.
Vernon Wells off Mariano Rivera game winner in 2006.
Mark Hendrickson's "shot heard round Quebec."
Eric Hinske's go ahead homerun in the Halladay vs. Johnson pitching duel in 2005.George Bell hits one on the roof at Tiger Stadium.
Candy Maldonado cranks one to CF at Yankee Stadium in 1992.Reed Johnson leading off and walking off in the same game.
“3 HR games by Darnell Coles in '94 (hit 4 total that year), Woodward in '02 (33 career HRs).”
“McGriff's homer in '87 in Yankee Stadium. Way up in the upper deck. After that, everyone knew who Fred McGriff was.”

Written with help from the BJW community.

There Will Be Blood

Spoilers.

This is a bleak movie. Right from the get-go, a creepy string arrangement signals the discovery of oil with as much horror as there is excitement. Daniel Plainview (Daniel Day-Lewis) starts out as a reasonable businessman. He is practical and loves his family. But we then witness his progression into one of the worst movie villains in recent memory.

Eli's church is a rather wacky one, resembling the miracle healers we see on TV today. The dynamic between Eli and Daniel reflects the entanglement of Church and Enterprise. You can definitely feel how annoyed Daniel is by Eli's plans. Daniel's first wrong step is when he beats up Eli when he asks for his $5000. Sure, Daniel was peeved that his son had lost his hearing and Eli was a miracle healer, but it was a small concession and part of a contract. Daniel's ambition and competition are what consume him. He has a chance to become a millionaire by selling to another company, but he opts to build his own pipeline to become even more filthy rich. Then in a conversation with his half-brother, he admits that he is competitive, not just wanting to win, but wanting others to lose.

As the greed surges in Daniel, the humanity slips away. He first alienates his son by sending him away, when he was in need of help the most because of his lost hearing. The man who claimed to be Daniel's half-brother turns out to be completely innocent, but that doesn't stop Daniel from killing him. And of course, at the end he has become a wretched, old, and lonely man, but it is his prerogative to humiliate and then kill Eli.

This is a tough, challenging movie, but it reveals some truths about our culture today, particularly about greed for more money than one really needs, and how that can lead to political and personal exploitation. Daniel Day-Lewis is amazing and the movie is exceptionally well-crafted, so it's definitely a must-see.

Distrcit 13

District 13 is a 2004 French martial arts film re-released in dubbed English in 2006. They waste no time getting to business, and what is most engaging about this movie is how much adrenaline it provokes without the use of special effects or wires. A druglord has an enemy's sister, as well as a nuclear weapon he may blow up the French slums with, thus drawing both Damien (a cop who can diffuse the bomb) and Leito (a slum-dwelling avenger who seeks his sister) together. The main characters use parkour, a french technique that was invented by one of the main characters (David Belle, Leito), which emphasizes maximum efficiency in manipulating your environment with the use of the human body. There is a lot of jumping, flipping and spinning in this technique, for example in the popular urban ninja video on youtube. They used a variety of martial arts, as the cop was a self-professed kickboxer, and the druglord watches a famous UFC fight at one point in the movie. The movie was also politically clairvoyant, as the French attitudes towards the slums of Paris showed up in the media a year later when riots broke out due to the hopelessness of the ignored areas. But still, District 13 was a 90-minute adrenaline-rush, that is fitting for any martial-arts movie-fan.

The Protector

Another installment by Tony Jaa, who goes to Australia to protect his companion elephant, a sacred animal in Thai culture, which has been kidnapped by some crooked business people. Some of the plot, acting, and music were silly, but there is one reason to watch this movie, and that is to watch Tony Jaa kick some ass. He is a lot more aggressive and dominant than in Ong-Bak, and there were some long and daunting fight sequences.

The Golden Compass